June 9 – June 12
Salary $9,000+ :
Brooks Koepka: ($11,000)
All three options at the top seem like great plays, have the course history and stats that fit the bill, but the other two options seem to have more risk.. Dustin Johnson withdrew from this event last year after starting the first round with three straight bogeys. He was apparently “sick”. Mickelson hasn’t been shaky as of late, however, his Par 4 Scoring ranking is not the best at 91st. That leaves me left with Koepka in the 11k range, and his current form, course history and stats all line up. In the past couple years, Koepka has competed at this course twice and he has a T19 and a T3. He is definitely a solid pick heading into the weekend.
Salary $7,000 – $9,000:
Chad Campbell: ($7,800)
Campbell has been on fire lately as he has had back to back top 15 performances. This puts him up to five Top 25’s this year. The slight concern is that he has missed 7 cuts this year, however, in the past five years at this event, he has made the cut all five times including a T8 last year, and a T3 in 2012. Overall, Campbell is a solid pick for GPP lineups this weekend.
Tim Wilkinson: ($7,200)
Wilkinson is a top value on the board again this week. The 37-year-old lefty is having a career year with 8/10 cuts made and three Top 25s. He’s also chasing a spot on New Zealand’s Olympic team, so there’s added incentive for Wilkinson to keep performing at this level. We love his fit for this course; he ranks 5th in Par 4 Scoring, 8th in proximity and 3rd in scrambling on the PGA Tour this season. Additionally, his past results at this event are decent as he has finished T45, T32 in his past two years. At a price like this, Wilkinson is definitely going to be one of the highest owned golfers this weekend, but his recent statistics are too good to fade.
Salary < $7,000:
Alex Cejka: ($6,700)
Here is another guy who has extremely solid stats that do not compare to the guys in his price range. Alex Cejka ranks third in my weight stat ranking, lead by his stroke gained on approaches (18th), par 4 scoring average (23rd), birdie or better percentage (27th) and scrambling (26th). Stats alone, Cejka has value play written all over him. He was a T22 at this event last year. Expect him to make the cut and finish in the top 50.